Portugal

3 - 2

Ghana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 63.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Ghana had a probability of 13.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.53%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Ghana win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.