African Nations Championship | Group Stage

Jan 19, 2023 at 4pm UK

Stade Mohamed V

Morocco
0 - 3
Madagascar

Data Analysis

Coverage of the African Nations Championship Group Stage clash between Morocco and Madagascar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morocco

All competitions

Last Game: Croatia 2-1 Morocco
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in World Cup

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	7
2	Croatia	3	3	5
3	Belgium	3	-1	4
4	Canada	3	-5	0

Madagascar

All competitions

African Nations Championship

Last Game: Madagascar 2-1 Ghana
Sunday, January 15 at 7pm in African Nations Championship

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Madagascar	3	3	7
2	Nigeria	3	0	6
3	Guinea	3	1	4
4	Burundi	3	-4	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 76.44%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Madagascar had a probability of 6.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (17.47%) and 3-0 (12.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.5%), while for a Madagascar win it was 0-1 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Morocco	Draw	Madagascar
76.44% ( -0.57)	17.32% ( 0.47)	6.24% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 29.32% (

-0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.71% (

-1.34)

55.28% (

1.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.49% (

-1.12)

76.5% (

1.11)

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.19% (

-0.56)

12.81% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.87% (

-1.16)

39.13% (

1.16)

Madagascar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

33.62% (

-0.5)

66.37% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

6.42% (

-0.21)

93.58% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Morocco 76.43%

Madagascar 6.24%

Draw 17.32%

Morocco	Draw	Madagascar
2-0 @ 17.95% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 17.47% ( 0.53) 3-0 @ 12.29% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.16) 5-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.14) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.72% Total : 76.43%	0-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.43) 1-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.32%	0-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.29% Total : 6.24%