Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ghana 3-1 Sudan
Thursday, January 19 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
Thursday, January 19 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sudan | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Last Game: Morocco 0-3 Madagascar
Thursday, January 19 at 4pm in African Nations Championship
Thursday, January 19 at 4pm in African Nations Championship
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
We said: Sudan 0-1 Madagascar
Madagascar are on the better run of results heading into this one, and they will feel confident of getting the job done. While we expect Sudan to put up a fight, we also fancy their East African opponents to come out on top at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudan win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Madagascar had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sudan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Madagascar win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Madagascar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sudan | Draw | Madagascar |
43.55% ( -0.09) | 27.44% ( -0.05) | 29.01% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 47.63% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
