African Nations Championship | Group Stage

Jan 23, 2023 at 7pm UK

Sudan
0 - 3
Madagascar

Mohamed (43')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Randriatsiferana (13'), Razafindranaivo (30'), Rafanomezantsoa (33')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's African Nations Championship clash between Sudan and Madagascar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sudan

All competitions

African Nations Championship

Last Game: Ghana 3-1 Sudan
Thursday, January 19 at 7pm in African Nations Championship

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	5	9
2	Egypt	3	1	6
3	Sudan	3	-3	1
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-3	1

Madagascar

All competitions

African Nations Championship

Last Game: Morocco 0-3 Madagascar
Thursday, January 19 at 4pm in African Nations Championship

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Madagascar	3	3	7
2	Nigeria	3	0	6
3	Guinea	3	1	4
4	Burundi	3	-4	0

Madagascar are on the better run of results heading into this one, and they will feel confident of getting the job done. While we expect Sudan to put up a fight, we also fancy their East African opponents to come out on top at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudan win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Madagascar had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sudan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Madagascar win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Madagascar would win this match.

Result
Sudan	Draw	Madagascar
43.55% ( -0.09)	27.44% ( -0.05)	29.01% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 47.63% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.39% (

0.25)

57.61% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.62% (

0.2)

78.38% (

-0.19)

Sudan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.75% (

0.07)

26.25% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.64% (

0.09)

61.36% (

-0.09)

Madagascar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.58% (

0.24)

35.42% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.82% (

0.25)

72.18% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Sudan 43.55%

Madagascar 29.01%

Draw 27.43%

Sudan	Draw	Madagascar
1-0 @ 12.43% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 43.55%	1-1 @ 12.9% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.43%	0-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.05% Total : 29.01%