African Nations Championship | Group Stage

Jan 15, 2023 at 4pm UK

Stade Mohamed-Hamlaoui

Morocco
0 - 3
Sudan

Data Analysis

Coverage of the African Nations Championship Group Stage clash between Morocco and Sudan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morocco

All competitions

Last Game: Croatia 2-1 Morocco
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in World Cup

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	7
2	Croatia	3	3	5
3	Belgium	3	-1	4
4	Canada	3	-5	0

Sudan

All competitions

Last Game: Uganda 2-2 Sudan
Tuesday, January 3 at 2pm in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	5	9
2	Egypt	3	1	6
3	Sudan	3	-3	1
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 61.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Sudan had a probability of 14.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.32%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Sudan win it was 0-1 (6.32%).

Result
Morocco	Draw	Sudan
61.82% ( 0.11)	23.52% ( -0.03)	14.66% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 40.42% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.5% (

-0.01)

57.5% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.71% (

-0.01)

78.29% (

0.01)

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.67% (

0.04)

18.33% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.58% (

0.06)

49.42% (

-0.06)

Sudan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.48% (

-0.12)

50.51% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.99% (

-0.08)

85.01% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Morocco 61.8%

Sudan 14.66%

Draw 23.52%

Morocco	Draw	Sudan
1-0 @ 15.7% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 13.32% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.15% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 61.8%	1-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.26% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.43% Total : 23.52%	0-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 14.66%