Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 28, 2023 at 6pm UK

Tanzania
0 - 1
Uganda

Yassin (54')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mato (90+1')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Tanzania and Uganda.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tanzania

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Uganda 0-1 Tanzania
Friday, March 24 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Algeria	3	6	9
2	Senegal	3	4	6
3	Kenya	3	-4	3
4	Tanzania	3	-6	0

Uganda

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Uganda 0-1 Tanzania
Friday, March 24 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Egypt	3	5	9
2	Uganda	3	0	4
3	Congo DR	3	0	3
4	Zimbabwe	3	-5	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tanzania win with a probability of 44.22%. A draw had a probability of 32.1% and a win for Uganda had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tanzania win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (6.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.6%), while for a Uganda win it was 0-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Tanzania	Draw	Uganda
44.22% ( 0.03)	32.08% ( 0.07)	23.7% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 33.65% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

26.81% (

-0.2)

73.19% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

10.8% (

-0.12)

89.2% (

0.12)

Tanzania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.26% (

-0.09)

33.74% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.6% (

-0.1)

70.4% (

0.1)

Uganda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.78% (

-0.23)

49.22% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.89% (

-0.16)

84.11% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Tanzania 44.21%

Uganda 23.7%

Draw 32.07%

Tanzania	Draw	Uganda
1-0 @ 18.04% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.55% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 44.21%	0-0 @ 16.6% ( 0.12) 1-1 @ 12.79% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 32.07%	0-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.17% Total : 23.7%