Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 27, 2023 at 5pm UK

Niger
0 - 1
Algeria

Yakubu (52')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bounedjah (6')
Delort (27'), Bennacer (42'), Bentaleb (84')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Niger and Algeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Niger

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Algeria 2-1 Niger
Thursday, March 23 at 9pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ghana	3	4	7
2	Mali	3	0	4
3	Congo DR	3	0	3
4	Niger	3	-4	1

Algeria

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Algeria 2-1 Niger
Thursday, March 23 at 9pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ivory Coast	3	3	7
2	Equatorial Guinea	3	1	6
3	Sierra Leone	3	-1	2
4	Algeria	3	-3	1

While Niger now have the home advantage, they are still no match for the very experienced and star-studded Algeria side, who have been imperious in the history of this fixture. Given the gulf in class and quality between the two nations, we fancy Belmadi's men coming out on top once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 66.29%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Niger had a probability of 12.14%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.27%) and 1-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a Niger win it was 1-0 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Algeria in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Algeria.

Result
Niger	Draw	Algeria
12.14% ( -0.37)	21.56% ( 0.13)	66.29% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 39.41% (

-1.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.82% (

-1.22)

55.18% (

1.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.58% (

-1.01)

76.42% (

1.01)

Niger Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.89% (

-1.38)

53.11% (

1.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.28% (

-0.89)

86.72% (

0.89)

Algeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.06% (

-0.33)

15.94% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.78% (

-0.61)

45.21% (

0.61)

Score Analysis

Niger 12.14%

Algeria 66.28%

Draw 21.56%

Niger	Draw	Algeria
1-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.98% Total : 12.14%	1-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.4% Total : 21.56%	0-1 @ 15.54% ( 0.55) 0-2 @ 14.27% ( 0.35) 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 8.74% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 5.53% ( -0.15) 0-4 @ 4.01% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.54% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.12) 0-5 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.47% Total : 66.28%