MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 14:45:33| >> :600:459119:459119:
Nigeria national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 16, 2023 at 4pm UK
Teslim Balogun Stadium
Lesotho national football team

Nigeria
1 - 1
Lesotho

Ajayi (67')
Ajayi (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mkwanazi (56')
Bereng (14'), Mkwanazi (72'), Mohai (80'), (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Nigeria and Lesotho, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Mozambique 2-3 Nigeria
Monday, October 16 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Ivory Coast 1-0 Lesotho
Saturday, September 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Nigeria 3-1 Lesotho

Nigeria's team is packed with class, and their attacking strength of late has been formidable. While Lesotho have shown improvement in their performances over the last few months, we fancy The Super Eagles to be too strong for The Crocodiles in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 77.12%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 6.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.94%) and 3-0 (11.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.28%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
NigeriaDrawLesotho
77.12% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02) 15.9% (0.023 0.02) 6.98% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Both teams to score 36.46% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.76% (-0.11 -0.11)47.24% (0.107 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.53% (-0.102 -0.1)69.46% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.62% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)10.38% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.11% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)33.89% (0.071999999999996 0.07)
Lesotho Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
40.68% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)59.31% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.7% (-0.042 -0.04)90.29% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Nigeria 77.1%
    Lesotho 6.98%
    Draw 15.9%
NigeriaDrawLesotho
2-0 @ 15.79% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 13.94% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 11.92%
2-1 @ 8.25% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-0 @ 6.76% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.23% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.53% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-0 @ 3.06% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.6% (-0.008 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.16% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 77.1%
1-1 @ 7.28% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 6.16% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 2.16% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 15.9%
0-1 @ 3.22% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 1.9% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 6.98%

How you voted: Nigeria vs Lesotho

Nigeria
88.0%
Draw
8.0%
Lesotho
4.0%
25
rhs 2.0
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