Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 27, 2023 at 5pm UK

Estadio 24 de Setembro

Guinea-Bissau
0 - 1
Nigeria

Cassama (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Simon (30' pen.)
Ndidi (22'), Omeruo (36'), Uzoho (90+2')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Guinea-Bissau and Nigeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guinea-Bissau

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Nigeria 0-1 Guinea-Bissau
Friday, March 24 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	5	9
2	Egypt	3	1	6
3	Sudan	3	-3	1
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-3	1

Nigeria

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Nigeria 0-1 Guinea-Bissau
Friday, March 24 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	5	9
2	Egypt	3	1	6
3	Sudan	3	-3	1
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-3	1

We said: Guinea-Bissau 0-1 Nigeria

Nigeria possesses the firepower needed to get the job done and will be looking to restore some pride at the Estadio 24 de Setembro. While Guinea-Bissau now have the home advantage in their favour, we predict that the Super Eagles will scrap a narrow win and return to the top of the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea-Bissau win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for Nigeria had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea-Bissau win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Nigeria win was 0-1 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nigeria in this match.

Result
Guinea-Bissau	Draw	Nigeria
37.18% ( -0.28)	27.6% ( -0.36)	35.22% ( 0.63)

Both teams to score 48.99% (

1.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.23% (

1.37)

56.76% (

-1.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.29% (

1.09)

77.71% (

-1.09)

Guinea-Bissau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.6% (

0.5)

29.4% (

-0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.61% (

0.62)

65.39% (

-0.62)

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.38% (

1.1)

30.61% (

-1.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.15% (

1.28)

66.85% (

-1.29)

Score Analysis

Guinea-Bissau 37.17%

Nigeria 35.21%

Draw 27.6%

Guinea-Bissau	Draw	Nigeria
1-0 @ 11.01% ( -0.43) 2-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.5% Total : 37.17%	1-1 @ 13.04% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 9% ( -0.49) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.17) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.6%	0-1 @ 10.65% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 7.72% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.24% Total : 35.21%