Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 9, 2022 at 5pm UK
Abuja National Stadium
Nigeria2 - 1Sierra Leone
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nigeria 2-1 Sierra Leone
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Mauritius vs. Nigeria
Monday, June 13 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Monday, June 13 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sudan | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Last Game: Nigeria 2-1 Sierra Leone
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Sierra Leone vs. Guinea-Bissau
Monday, June 13 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Monday, June 13 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
We said: Nigeria 2-0 Sierra Leone
Nigeria will be looking to restore some pride as they return home where they saw their World Cup qualification dreams come to an end back in March. While Sierra Leone will be looking to keep the juggernaut rolling, we are backing the Super Eagles to come away with all three points on home ground. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Sierra Leone win was 0-1 (10.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nigeria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nigeria | Draw | Sierra Leone |
40.73% ( -0.96) | 28.77% ( 0.17) | 30.49% ( 0.79) |
| Both teams to score 44.61% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
