MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 10:49:00| >> :60:486:486:
Costa Rica national football team
International Friendly
Nov 10, 2022 at 2am UK
Estadio Nacional de Costa Rica
Nigeria national football team

Costa Rica
2 - 0
Nigeria

Duarte (7'), Waston (73')
Fuller (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bameyi (58'), Isaiah (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's International Friendlies clash between Costa Rica and Nigeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Costa Rica

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Costa Rica 1-2 Uzbekistan
Tuesday, September 27 at 7am in International Friendlies

Nigeria

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Algeria 2-1 Nigeria
Tuesday, September 27 at 8pm in International Friendlies

We said: Costa Rica 2-1 Nigeria

 While the full-time result is largely unimportant, Costa Rica will head into Thursday seeking a morale-boosting result ahead of their World Cup opener. The Central Americans take on an inexperienced Nigerian side and we are backing them to come out victorious in front of their home crowd. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Nigeria had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Nigeria win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Costa Rica would win this match.

Result
Costa RicaDrawNigeria
39.93% (-0.193 -0.19) 25.05% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 35.01% (0.22600000000001 0.23)
Both teams to score 57.36% (0.165 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.92% (0.192 0.19)46.08% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.62% (0.182 0.18)68.38% (-0.18300000000001 -0.18)
Costa Rica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.07% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)22.92% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.3% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)56.69% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.42% (0.22200000000001 0.22)25.57% (-0.223 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.55% (0.302 0.3)60.44% (-0.303 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Costa Rica 39.93%
    Nigeria 35.01%
    Draw 25.05%
Costa RicaDrawNigeria
2-1 @ 8.67% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.63% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.36% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.12% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 39.93%
1-1 @ 11.77% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.91% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.86% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.05%
1-2 @ 8.03% (0.034 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.99% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.45% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.65% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.69% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.48% (0.027 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.24% (0.021 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 35.01%

How you voted: Costa Rica vs Nigeria

Costa Rica
66.7%
Draw
0.0%
Nigeria
33.3%
12
rhs 2.0
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