Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 13, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stade de Marrakech

Sao Tome
0 - 10
Nigeria

FT(HT: 0-3)

Osimhen (9', 48', 65', 84'), Dennis (90+2' pen.), Simon (28'), Moffi (43', 60'), Etebo (55'), Lookman (63')
Aina (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Sao Tome & Principe and Nigeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mauritius

Last Game: Mauritius 0-0 Seychelles
Saturday, March 19 at 12pm in International Friendlies

Nigeria

Last Six:

Last Game: Nigeria 2-1 Sierra Leone
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	5	9
2	Egypt	3	1	6
3	Sudan	3	-3	1
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-3	1

We said: Sao Tome & Principe 0-3 Nigeria

While Sao Tome will be looking to snap their losing streak, next up is the challenge of thawing three-time AFCON champions Nigeria, who are 153 places ahead in the latest FIFA world rankings. Given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, we are backing the Super Eagles to come away with all three points unscathed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Sao Tome & Principe win was 2-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%).

Result
Sao Tome & Principe	Draw	Nigeria
34.58% ( -0.11)	24.52% ( 0.01)	40.9% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 59.16% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.29% (

-0.05)

43.71% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.9% (

-0.05)

66.1% (

0.05)

Sao Tome & Principe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.29% (

-0.09)

24.7% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.75% (

-0.12)

59.24% (

0.12)

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.57% (

0.02)

21.43% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.56% (

0.04)

54.44% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Sao Tome & Principe 34.58%

Nigeria 40.9%

Draw 24.52%

Sao Tome & Principe	Draw	Nigeria
2-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.4% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 34.58%	1-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.52%	1-2 @ 8.78% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.51% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.15% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.6% Total : 40.9%