Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 10, 2023 at 5pm UK
Teslim Balogun Stadium
Nigeria6 - 0Sao Tome
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sierra Leone 2-3 Nigeria
Sunday, June 18 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sunday, June 18 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sudan | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Last Game: Sao Tome 0-1 Guinea-Bissau
Wednesday, June 14 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Wednesday, June 14 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
We said: Nigeria 5-0 Sao Tome & Principe
Nigeria hammered Sao Tome & Principe 10-0 in the reverse fixture back in June 2022 and the Selecao are in for another gruesome 90 minutes against a star-studded Super Eagles side. Sao Tome's form is currently nothing to write home about and we see the three-time African champions coming away with another huge victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 90.19%. A draw had a probability of 7.5% and a win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 2.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 3-0 with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.08%) and 4-0 (11.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.48%), while for a Sao Tome & Principe win it was 0-1 (1.09%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nigeria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nigeria | Draw | Sao Tome & Principe |
90.19% ( -0.1) | 7.51% ( 0.16) | 2.3% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 31.3% ( -1.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.55% ( -1.48) | 30.45% ( 1.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.27% ( -1.79) | 51.74% ( 1.8) |
| Nigeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.91% ( -0.24) | 4.1% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 82.81% ( -0.79) | 17.19% ( 0.8) |
| Sao Tome & Principe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 32.64% ( -1.51) | 67.36% ( 1.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 6.02% ( -0.61) | 93.98% ( 0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
Nigeria 90.18%
Sao Tome & Principe 2.3%
Draw 7.51%
| Nigeria | Draw | Sao Tome & Principe |
| 3-0 @ 15% ( 0.41) 2-0 @ 14.08% ( 0.64)4-0 @ 11.98% ( 0.1)1-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.56)5-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.17)2-1 @ 5.57% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.23)6-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.13)5-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.21)7-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.1)6-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.74% Total : 90.18% | 1-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.17% Total : 7.51% | 0-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.21% Total : 2.3% |
How you voted: Nigeria vs Sao Tome
Nigeria
75.0%Draw
25.0%Sao Tome & Principe
0.0%8
Head to Head
Form Guide
