World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Jun 6, 2024 at 5pm UK

28 March Stadium

Libya
2 - 1
Mauritius

Al Badri (20' pen.), Ekrawa (40')
Bin Ali (32'), Mukhtar Al Shremi (90+3')
Youssef (83')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Bru (34')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Libya and Mauritius, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Libya

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Togo 1-1 Libya
Tuesday, March 26 at 10pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	3	7
2	Libya	3	3	6
3	Rwanda	3	0	4
4	Equatorial Guinea	3	-6	0

Mauritius

Last Game: Mauritius 1-2 Chad
Tuesday, March 26 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Libya will be licking their lips as they take on a Mauritius side who have struggled to get going in the qualifiers. The Mediterranean Knights are currently firing on all cylinders and we see them claiming all three points on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Libya win with a probability of 68.88%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Mauritius had a probability of 10.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Libya win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.67%) and 3-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.25%), while for a Mauritius win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Libya would win this match.

Result
Libya	Draw	Mauritius
68.88% ( 0.35)	20.99% ( -0.17)	10.13% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 35.1% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.53% (

0.15)

57.47% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.73% (

0.12)

78.27% (

-0.12)

Libya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.13% (

0.17)

15.87% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.92% (

0.31)

45.07% (

-0.31)

Mauritius Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

41.71% (

-0.27)

58.28% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.25% (

-0.15)

89.75% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Libya 68.88%

Mauritius 10.13%

Draw 20.99%

Libya	Draw	Mauritius
1-0 @ 17.02% 2-0 @ 15.67% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 68.88%	0-0 @ 9.25% ( -0.05) 1-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.27% Total : 20.99%	0-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.31% Total : 10.13%