World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Jun 6, 2024 at 5pm UK
28 March Stadium
Libya2 - 1Mauritius
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Togo 1-1 Libya
Tuesday, March 26 at 10pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, March 26 at 10pm in International Friendlies
Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 7 |
2 | Libya | 3 | 3 | 6 |
3 | Rwanda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
4 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Last Game: Mauritius 1-2 Chad
Tuesday, March 26 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Tuesday, March 26 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
We said: Libya 2-0 Mauritius
Libya will be licking their lips as they take on a Mauritius side who have struggled to get going in the qualifiers. The Mediterranean Knights are currently firing on all cylinders and we see them claiming all three points on home soil. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Libya win with a probability of 68.88%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Mauritius had a probability of 10.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Libya win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.67%) and 3-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.25%), while for a Mauritius win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Libya would win this match.
Result | ||
Libya | Draw | Mauritius |
68.88% ( 0.35) | 20.99% ( -0.17) | 10.13% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 35.1% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.53% ( 0.15) | 57.47% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.73% ( 0.12) | 78.27% ( -0.12) |
Libya Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.13% ( 0.17) | 15.87% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.92% ( 0.31) | 45.07% ( -0.31) |
Mauritius Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
41.71% ( -0.27) | 58.28% ( 0.27) |