World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Jun 6, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade de l'Amitie

Benin
1 - 0
Rwanda

Dodo (37')
Dodo (44'), Imourane (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Imanishimwe (20')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Benin and Rwanda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benin

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Senegal 1-0 Benin
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ghana	3	2	5
2	Cameroon	3	2	5
3	Benin	3	0	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-4	1

Rwanda

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Rwanda 2-0 Madagascar
Monday, March 25 at 1pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	3	7
2	Libya	3	3	6
3	Rwanda	3	0	4
4	Equatorial Guinea	3	-6	0

Rwanda are proving to be a hard nut to crack in this competition and are in better form compared to Benin. The hosts are on a long winless streak and we think that the visitors will have the chance to earn a result here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benin win with a probability of 48.79%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Rwanda had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benin win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Rwanda win it was 0-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Benin in this match.

Result
Benin	Draw	Rwanda
48.79% ( 0.02)	27.71% ( 0.02)	23.5% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 42.9% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.4% (

-0.09)

61.6% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.56% (

-0.06)

81.44% (

0.06)

Benin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.54% (

-0.03)

25.46% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.71% (

-0.04)

60.29% (

0.03)

Rwanda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.56% (

-0.09)

42.44% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.18% (

-0.08)

78.81% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Benin 48.79%

Rwanda 23.5%

Draw 27.7%

Benin	Draw	Rwanda
1-0 @ 14.78% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.11% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.61% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.58% 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 48.79%	1-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.52% Total : 27.7%	0-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.1% Total : 23.5%