MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 15:09:27| >> :120:3748:3748:
South Africa national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 18, 2023 at 1pm UK
Moses Mabhida Stadium
Benin national football team

South Africa
2 - 1
Benin

Tau (2'), Mudau (45+2')
Mokoena (54')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Mounie (70')
Hountondji (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between South Africa and Benin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Ivory Coast 1-1 South Africa
Tuesday, October 17 at 8pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Madagascar 2-1 Benin
Tuesday, October 17 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies

We said: South Africa 2-1 Benin

Under new management, South Africa look like a much better side than they were four years ago, and there is genuine positivity around the camp about their chances in this competition. Benin are in a rebuilding phase at the moment, and while we expect them to give a good account of themselves here, we feel that the side from the South will be too good for the West Africans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 59.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Benin had a probability of 16.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.55%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Benin win it was 0-1 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for South Africa in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for South Africa.

Result
South AfricaDrawBenin
59.3% (-0.245 -0.25) 24.28% (0.137 0.14) 16.41% (0.108 0.11)
Both teams to score 41.94% (-0.156 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.51% (-0.322 -0.32)57.49% (0.322 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.71% (-0.256 -0.26)78.29% (0.255 0.25)
South Africa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.74% (-0.21599999999999 -0.22)19.26% (0.216 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.02% (-0.355 -0.36)50.98% (0.355 0.36)
Benin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.94% (-0.052 -0.05)48.05% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.73% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)83.27% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    South Africa 59.29%
    Benin 16.41%
    Draw 24.28%
South AfricaDrawBenin
1-0 @ 15.24% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 12.55% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.9% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.05% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.84% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.08% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.85% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.94% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 59.29%
1-1 @ 11.17% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 9.25% (0.113 0.11)
2-2 @ 3.37% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 24.28%
0-1 @ 6.78% (0.073 0.07)
1-2 @ 4.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.49% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 1% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 16.41%

How you voted: South Africa vs Benin

South Africa
64.7%
Draw
29.4%
Benin
5.9%
34
rhs 2.0
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