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Benin national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 17, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade de l'Amitie
Senegal national football team

Benin
1 - 1
Senegal

Rachid Moumini (78')
Rachid Moumini (30'), Adenon (38')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Seck (43')
Ciss (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Benin and Senegal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Rwanda 1-1 Benin
Wednesday, March 29 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Mozambique 0-1 Senegal
Tuesday, March 28 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Benin 1-2 Senegal

Even if Senegal rotate their team, the quality and talent at Cisse's disposal mean any side sent out retains that competitiveness — and that should see to a low-scoring victory in Benin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 43.22%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Benin had a probability of 27.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.93%) and 1-2 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.2%), while for a Benin win it was 1-0 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
BeninDrawSenegal
27.22% (-2.53 -2.53) 29.56% (0.138 0.14) 43.22% (2.393 2.39)
Both teams to score 41.14% (-1.514 -1.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.73% (-1.264 -1.26)65.27% (1.264 1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.92% (-0.89 -0.89)84.08% (0.89 0.89)
Benin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.85% (-2.81 -2.81)41.15% (2.811 2.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.31% (-2.594 -2.59)77.68% (2.593 2.59)
Senegal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.89% (0.72800000000001 0.73)30.1% (-0.729 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.76% (0.867 0.87)66.24% (-0.867 -0.87)
Score Analysis
    Benin 27.21%
    Senegal 43.22%
    Draw 29.55%
BeninDrawSenegal
1-0 @ 10.99% (-0.34 -0.34)
2-1 @ 5.86% (-0.529 -0.53)
2-0 @ 4.88% (-0.548 -0.55)
3-1 @ 1.74% (-0.307 -0.31)
3-0 @ 1.45% (-0.29 -0.29)
3-2 @ 1.04% (-0.16 -0.16)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 27.21%
1-1 @ 13.2% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 12.38% (0.57 0.57)
2-2 @ 3.52% (-0.241 -0.24)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 29.55%
0-1 @ 14.87% (0.97 0.97)
0-2 @ 8.93% (0.744 0.74)
1-2 @ 7.93% (0.082 0.08)
0-3 @ 3.57% (0.363 0.36)
1-3 @ 3.17% (0.095 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.41% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.07% (0.128 0.13)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 43.22%

How you voted: Benin vs Senegal

Benin
22.7%
Draw
15.9%
Senegal
61.4%
44
Head to Head
Jun 4, 2022 8pm
Group Stage
Senegal
3-1
Benin
Mane (12' pen., 22', 60' pen.)
Olaitan (88')
Doremus (6')
D'Almeida (51')
Jul 10, 2019 5pm
Quarter-Finals
Senegal
1-0
Benin
Gueye (69')
Mane (91')

Soukou (44'), Mounie (93')
Verdon (83')
rhs 2.0
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