Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
35.46% ( -0.26) | 25.72% ( 0.02) | 38.81% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 55.1% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.97% ( -0.11) | 49.03% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.89% ( -0.1) | 71.11% ( 0.1) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.3% ( -0.2) | 26.7% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.04% ( -0.27) | 61.96% ( 0.27) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.17% ( 0.08) | 24.83% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.58% ( 0.11) | 59.42% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.15% Total : 35.46% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.5% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.78% Total : 38.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 21 |
2 | Cove Rangers | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 20 |
3 | Kelty Hearts | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Arbroath | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
5 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 18 |
6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 18 |
7 | Montrose | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 14 |
9 | Dumbarton | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 12 |
10 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 1 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |