Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Queen of the South | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
44.06% ( -0.06) | 23.85% ( -0) | 32.09% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 60.72% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.68% ( 0.03) | 41.31% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.29% ( 0.04) | 63.71% ( -0.04) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.98% ( -0.01) | 19.01% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.42% ( -0.02) | 50.58% ( 0.02) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.97% ( 0.05) | 25.03% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.31% ( 0.07) | 59.69% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Queen of the South | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.03% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.35% Total : 44.06% | 1-1 @ 10.94% 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.85% | 1-2 @ 7.58% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.59% 0-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 32.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 21 |
2 | Cove Rangers | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 20 |
3 | Kelty Hearts | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Arbroath | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
5 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 18 |
6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 18 |
7 | Montrose | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 14 |
9 | Dumbarton | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 12 |
10 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 1 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |