Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 51.69%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 26.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.56%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 2-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Edinburgh City | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
26.12% ( 0.44) | 22.19% ( 0.61) | 51.69% ( -1.05) |
Both teams to score 62.42% ( -1.79) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.77% ( -2.55) | 37.23% ( 2.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.56% ( -2.8) | 59.43% ( 2.8) |
Edinburgh City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.11% ( -1.04) | 26.89% ( 1.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.79% ( -1.39) | 62.21% ( 1.38) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.38% ( -1.22) | 14.61% ( 1.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.28% ( -2.41) | 42.71% ( 2.41) |
Score Analysis |
Edinburgh City | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
2-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.48) 2-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.13% Total : 26.12% | 1-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.47) 3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.19% | 1-2 @ 9.55% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 7.56% ( 0.6) 0-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 6.12% ( -0.23) 0-3 @ 4.66% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.27) 1-4 @ 2.94% ( -0.25) 0-4 @ 2.24% ( -0.12) 2-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.23) 1-5 @ 1.13% ( -0.15) Other @ 4.27% Total : 51.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Cove Rangers | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 20 |
2 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Arbroath | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 18 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 17 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 16 |
7 | Montrose | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 16 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 13 |
9 | Dumbarton | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 12 |
10 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | -2 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |