Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 49.03%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.55%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 2-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montrose would win this match.