Scottish League One | Gameweek 10
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Indodrill Stadium
Alloa3 - 1Kelty Hearts
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Alloa Athletic and Kelty Hearts.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Montrose 2-1 Alloa
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Goals
for
for
11
Last Game: Morton 4-1 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
44.46% ( 0.19) | 24.64% ( 0.03) | 30.9% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 57.39% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.57% ( -0.21) | 45.44% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.23% ( -0.2) | 67.77% ( 0.2) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.48% ( 0) | 20.53% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.97% ( -0) | 53.03% ( 0) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.21% ( -0.24) | 27.79% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.63% ( -0.31) | 63.38% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic 44.46%
Kelty Hearts 30.9%
Draw 24.63%
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.78% Total : 44.46% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.63% | 1-2 @ 7.41% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.85% Total : 30.9% |
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 3
Kelty Hearts
2-1
Alloa
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Dec 31, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 20
Alloa
0-0
Kelty Hearts
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Form Guide
