MX23RW : Monday, November 25 18:57:19| >> :60:36:36:
Dumbarton
Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round
Sep 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
The C&G Systems Stadium
Kelty Hearts

Dumbarton
1 - 3
Kelty Hearts

Ruth (34')
Wallace (74')
Wallace (90+2'), Wallace (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Lyon (11'), Biabi (16', 76')
Walker (29'), Biabi (90+1'), McCluskey (90+5')
Walker (78')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Dumbarton and Kelty Hearts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dumbarton

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Dumbarton 1-0 East Fife
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Kelty Hearts

All competitions
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 1-1 Annan
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
DumbartonDrawKelty Hearts
43.14% (0.029000000000003 0.03) 24.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 32.24% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Both teams to score 58.07% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.19% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)44.81% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.83% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)67.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Dumbarton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.14% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)20.85% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.45% (0.017000000000003 0.02)53.54% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Kelty Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.37% (-0.02300000000001 -0.02)26.63% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.14% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)61.86% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Dumbarton 43.14%
    Kelty Hearts 32.24%
    Draw 24.61%
DumbartonDrawKelty Hearts
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 8.7% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 6.82% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.72% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-0 @ 3.57% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 3.12%
4-1 @ 1.85% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.4% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 43.14%
1-1 @ 11.51%
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.55% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.61%
1-2 @ 7.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 7.35% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.86% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.14% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 32.24%

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