MX23RW : Wednesday, November 6 00:15:48| >> :60:1868:1868:
Scottish Challenge Cup | Second Round
Aug 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
BBSP Stadium Rugby Park
Dumbarton

Kilmarnock II
1 - 1
Dumbarton

Wales (65')
Brannan (90+6')
FT
(aet)
Pignatiello (40')
Blair (88'), Durnan (90+6')
Dumbarton win 9-8 on penalties
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Second Round clash between Kilmarnock II and Dumbarton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock II

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Kilmarnock II 3-1 Bonnyrigg Rose
Tuesday, August 1 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Dumbarton

All competitions
Last Game: Dumbarton 1-1 Spartans
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock II win with a probability of 51.71%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock II win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.76%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%).

Result
Kilmarnock IIDrawDumbarton
51.71% (0.372 0.37) 21.67% (-0.118 -0.12) 26.62% (-0.252 -0.25)
Both teams to score 64.88% (0.20099999999999 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.78% (0.364 0.36)34.22% (-0.362 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.88% (0.412 0.41)56.12% (-0.41 -0.41)
Kilmarnock II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.45% (0.24499999999999 0.24)13.55% (-0.244 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.37% (0.48699999999999 0.49)40.63% (-0.486 -0.49)
Dumbarton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.04% (0.019999999999996 0.02)24.95% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.41% (0.027999999999999 0.03)59.59% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock II 51.72%
    Dumbarton 26.62%
    Draw 21.67%
Kilmarnock IIDrawDumbarton
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 6.76% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.75% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.25% (0.055 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.5% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 4.34% (0.041 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.12% (0.055 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.25% (0.038 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.17% (0.04 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.25% (0.033 0.03)
4-3 @ 1% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 51.72%
1-1 @ 9.38% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 3.38% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-3 @ 2.01% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 21.67%
1-2 @ 6.51% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-1 @ 4.69% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.26% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.01% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.51% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 26.62%

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