Scottish Challenge Cup | Second Round
Aug 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
BBSP Stadium Rugby Park
Kilmarnock II1 - 1Dumbarton
Dumbarton win 9-8 on penalties
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Second Round clash between Kilmarnock II and Dumbarton.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Kilmarnock II 3-1 Bonnyrigg Rose
Tuesday, August 1 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Tuesday, August 1 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Dumbarton 1-1 Spartans
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock II win with a probability of 51.71%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock II win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.76%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%).
Result | ||
Kilmarnock II | Draw | Dumbarton |
51.71% ( 0.37) | 21.67% ( -0.12) | 26.62% ( -0.25) |
Both teams to score 64.88% ( 0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.78% ( 0.36) | 34.22% ( -0.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.88% ( 0.41) | 56.12% ( -0.41) |
Kilmarnock II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.45% ( 0.24) | 13.55% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.37% ( 0.49) | 40.63% ( -0.49) |
Dumbarton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.04% ( 0.02) | 24.95% ( -0.02) |