Scottish Challenge Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Kilmarnock II3 - 0Cowdenbeath
Wales (19'), Warnock (20'), Sotona (54')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup First Round clash between Kilmarnock II and Cowdenbeath.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Edinburgh 3-0 Cowdenbeath
Wednesday, July 20 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Wednesday, July 20 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cowdenbeath win with a probability of 62.82%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Kilmarnock II had a probability of 18.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cowdenbeath win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.12%) and 1-3 (7.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.27%), while for a Kilmarnock II win it was 2-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Kilmarnock II | Draw | Cowdenbeath |
18.18% ( 0.41) | 19% ( -0.04) | 62.82% ( -0.37) |
Both teams to score 62.48% ( 1.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.91% ( 0.94) | 32.08% ( -0.94) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.34% ( 1.09) | 53.66% ( -1.08) |
Kilmarnock II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.29% ( 1) | 30.7% ( -1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.04% ( 1.17) | 66.96% ( -1.17) |
Cowdenbeath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.16% ( 0.18) | 9.83% ( -0.18) |