Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round
Sep 24, 2022 at 2pm UK
Links Park
Montrose4 - 2Kilmarnock II
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Montrose and Kilmarnock II.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 73.13%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Kilmarnock II had a probability of 10.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 3-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.61%), while for a Kilmarnock II win it was 1-2 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montrose would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Kilmarnock II |
73.13% ( -0.06) | 16.22% ( 0.04) | 10.65% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.59% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
