Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.64%) and 1-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.