Scottish League Cup | Group Stage

Jul 23, 2022 at 3pm UK

McDiarmid Park

St Johnstone
1 - 0
Ayr

Carey (2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ecrepont (77')

Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between St Johnstone and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Johnstone

Last Six:

Last Game: Elgin 2-4 St Johnstone
Tuesday, July 19 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Ross County	0	0	0
11	St Johnstone	0	0	0
12	St Mirren	0	0	0

Ayr United

Last Six:

Last Game: Annan 1-1 Ayr (5-4 pen.)
Tuesday, July 19 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Arbroath	0	0	0
2	Ayr United	0	0	0
3	Cove Rangers	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 54.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 20.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Johnstone in this match.

Result
St Johnstone	Draw	Ayr United
54.79% ( 0.12)	24.78% ( -0.05)	20.43% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 47.09% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.77% (

0.11)

54.23% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.37% (

0.09)

75.63% (

-0.09)

St Johnstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.26% (

0.09)

19.74% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.23% (

0.15)

51.77% (

-0.14)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.67% (

-0.01)

41.33% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.15% (

-0.01)

77.85% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

St Johnstone 54.77%

Ayr United 20.43%

Draw 24.77%

St Johnstone	Draw	Ayr United
1-0 @ 13.23% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 54.77%	1-1 @ 11.69% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.19% ( 0) Other @ 0.73% Total : 24.77%	0-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.52% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.18% Total : 20.43%