Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Ayr United	Draw	Elgin City
32.92% ( 0.03)	27% ( -0.01)	40.08% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 50.45% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.24% (

0.05)

54.76% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.93% (

0.04)

76.07% (

-0.04)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.89% (

0.04)

31.11% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.57% (

0.05)

67.43% (

-0.05)

Elgin City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.22% (

0.01)

26.77% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.94% (

0.02)

62.06% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Ayr United 32.92%

Elgin City 40.07%

Draw 27%

Ayr United	Draw	Elgin City
1-0 @ 9.73% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.68% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.21% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.99% Total : 32.92%	1-1 @ 12.81% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 27%	0-1 @ 10.97% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.44% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.71% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.18% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.11% Total : 40.07%