Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 48.11%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 25.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.