Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 50.34%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 23.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.