Scottish League Cup | Second Round

Aug 31, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Fir Park

Motherwell
4 - 0
Inverness

van Veen (9', 38' pen., 67' pen.), Devine (26' og.)
Slattery (19')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Deas (55'), Ridgers (66'), Boyd (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish League Cup clash between Motherwell and Inverness Caledonian Thistle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

Last Six:

Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-1 Motherwell
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Aberdeen	5	6	9
5	Motherwell	5	1	9
6	St Mirren	5	1	9

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

Last Six:

Last Game: Inverness 0-1 Morton
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Raith Rovers	5	-1	6
8	Inverness Caledonian Thistle	5	-1	5
9	Cove Rangers	5	-4	3

We said: Motherwell 2-0 Inverness Caledonian Thistle

Motherwell will be backing themselves to come away with the desired results as they face an out-of-sorts Inverness side who have stumbled in recent weeks. Given the gulf in quality and experience between the sides, we are backing the hosts to take the positives from their weekend performances and come out victorious against the Championship side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.

Result
Motherwell	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
42.8% ( 0.66)	26.83% ( -0.43)	30.37% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 50.06% (

1.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.18% (

1.54)

54.82% (

-1.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.87% (

1.26)

76.12% (

-1.26)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.63% (

1.05)

25.37% (

-1.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.84% (

1.42)

60.16% (

-1.42)

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.08% (

0.63)

32.92% (

-0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.5% (

0.7)

69.5% (

-0.7)

Score Analysis

Motherwell 42.79%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 30.37%

Draw 26.83%

Motherwell	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 11.45% ( -0.34) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 7.86% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.35% Total : 42.79%	1-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.51) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.17) Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.83%	0-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.4) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.54% Total : 30.37%