Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 4

Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK

Fir Park Stadium

Motherwell
1 - 0
Livingston

van Veen (68' pen.)
Morris (61')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bahamboula (74')
Bahamboula (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Livingston, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

Last Six:

Last Game: Aberdeen 2-3 Motherwell
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Hearts	3	4	7
4	Motherwell	3	1	6
5	Livingston	3	1	6

We said: Motherwell 2-2 Livingston

Both teams have shown their qualities in the opening three matches to this point, and they have been great offensively, causing problems for other teams that they have faced. Because of that, there is a good chance that there will be plenty of goals in this one, and with very little to separate them right now a draw could be the end result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.71%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (11.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Motherwell	Draw	Livingston
34.27% ( 0.31)	28.67% ( 0.12)	37.06% ( -0.43)

Both teams to score 45.75% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.27% (

-0.41)

60.73% (

0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.21% (

-0.31)

80.79% (

0.31)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.74% (

-0.01)

33.26% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.13% (

-0.01)

69.87% (

0.01)

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.55% (

-0.48)

31.45% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.17% (

-0.55)

67.83% (

0.55)

Score Analysis

Motherwell 34.27%

Livingston 37.05%

Draw 28.66%

Motherwell	Draw	Livingston
1-0 @ 11.51% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 2.69% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.52% Total : 34.27%	1-1 @ 13.32% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.45% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.66%	0-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.71% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 7% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.95% Total : 37.05%