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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 55.82%. A draw has a probability of 22.2% and a win for Carlisle United has a probability of 21.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Carlisle United win it is 2-1 (5.78%).
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
21.97% ( 0.16) | 22.21% ( 0.02) | 55.82% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 57.29% ( 0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.24% ( 0.14) | 41.75% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.84% ( 0.14) | 64.16% ( -0.14) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.27% ( 0.23) | 32.73% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.71% ( 0.26) | 69.28% ( -0.26) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.16% ( -0.01) | 14.83% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.86% ( -0.02) | 43.14% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
2-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.42% 2-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 21.97% | 1-1 @ 10.34% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.21% | 1-2 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 8.84% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 6.28% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.62% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 3% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.68% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.14% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.91% Total : 55.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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