MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:37:12| >> :600:386020:386020:
Carlisle United
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Wigan logo

Carlisle
0 - 2
Wigan


Neal (61'), Lavelle (87')
Robson (14')
FT
(aet)
Smith (98'), Smith (120+1')
Rankine (25'), Olakigbe (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Carlisle United and Wigan Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carlisle 0-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Blackpool 2-2 Wigan
Monday, October 28 at 8pm in League One

We say: Carlisle United 1-2 Wigan Athletic

Wigan have already enjoyed success at Brunton Park this season, and we think that they will draw inspiration from that EFL Trophy victory to claim another win against a Carlisle side that have lost six of their last eight competitive matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 49.74%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 25.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%).

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawWigan Athletic
25.67% (0.717 0.72) 24.58% (0.082999999999998 0.08) 49.74% (-0.804 -0.8)
Both teams to score 53.79% (0.434 0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.56% (0.235 0.23)48.43% (-0.241 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.43% (0.216 0.22)70.57% (-0.218 -0.22)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.82% (0.72499999999999 0.72)33.18% (-0.729 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.21% (0.794 0.79)69.78% (-0.797 -0.8)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.5% (-0.23099999999999 -0.23)19.5% (0.228 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.62% (-0.378 -0.38)51.37% (0.374 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 25.67%
    Wigan Athletic 49.74%
    Draw 24.57%
Carlisle UnitedDrawWigan Athletic
1-0 @ 7.14% (0.071 0.07)
2-1 @ 6.44% (0.144 0.14)
2-0 @ 3.94% (0.116 0.12)
3-1 @ 2.37% (0.098 0.1)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.067 0.07)
3-0 @ 1.45% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 25.67%
1-1 @ 11.66% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.47% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.08 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.57%
0-1 @ 10.57% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-2 @ 9.54% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.65% (-0.213 -0.21)
1-3 @ 5.2% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-3 @ 4.71% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.87% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.12% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.93% (-0.076 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 49.74%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Wigan

Carlisle United
10.5%
Draw
5.3%
Wigan Athletic
84.2%
19
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2024 7pm
Group Stage
Carlisle
0-2
Wigan
Stones (7' pen.), Olakigbe (24')
Smith (32'), Thomas (68')
Dec 29, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 25
Wigan
2-0
Carlisle
Magennis (16' pen.), Morrison (36')
Clare (45+2'), Morrison (66'), Shaw (72'), Watts (90+6')

Edmondson (45+2'), Robinson (47'), Barclay (54'), Mellish (60'), Moxon (82'), Maguire (90+1')
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Carlisle
1-1
Wigan
Moxon (56')
Mellish (54'), Maguire (67'), Armer (83'), Lavelle (90+9')
Wyke (34')
Clare (19'), Pearce (58')
rhs 2.0
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5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
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20Southampton11119721-144


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