League One

League One | Gameweek 3

Aug 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
1 - 1
Wigan

Moxon (56')
Mellish (54'), Maguire (67'), Armer (83'), Lavelle (90+9')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Wyke (34')
Clare (19'), Pearce (58')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League One clash between Carlisle United and Wigan Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-0 Carlisle
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wigan Athletic

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Wigan 2-1 Northampton
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (11.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Wigan Athletic
39.21% ( 0.01)	28.66% ( -0)	32.13% ( -0)

Both teams to score 45.41% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.02% (

0.01)

60.98% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.02% (

0.01)

80.98% (

-0)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.73% (

0.01)

30.27% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.56% (

0.01)

66.44% (

-0.01)

Wigan Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.12%

34.88% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.38% (

71.62% (

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 39.2%

Wigan Athletic 32.12%

Draw 28.65%

Carlisle United	Draw	Wigan Athletic
1-0 @ 12.61% 2-1 @ 7.94% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.54% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.16% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.33% Total : 39.2%	1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 10.55% 2-2 @ 4.18% ( 0) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.65%	0-1 @ 11.11% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7% 0-2 @ 5.86% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.46% 0-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.18% Total : 32.12%