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Championship header 2

League One
Carlisle United
League One | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Fleetwood Town

Carlisle
1 - 1
Fleetwood

Moxon (36')
Huntington (4'), Mellish (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wiredu (45+4')
Brown (5'), Nsiala (73'), Earl (85'), Rooney (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Carlisle United and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Carlisle 1-1 Stockport (5-4 pen.)
Sunday, May 28 at 1.30pm in League Two

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 0-0 Preston
Tuesday, July 25 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Carlisle United 1-1 Fleetwood Town

 The loss of top scorer Kristian Dennis could leave Carlisle without their shooting boots for the first few games of the season, while Fleetwood will not want a repeat of last season and endure an opening-day defeat. Therefore, we think the sides will approach this game with caution, and they will cancel each other out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
41.5% (-1.378 -1.38) 27.53% (0.203 0.2) 30.97% (1.172 1.17)
Both teams to score 48.24% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.74% (-0.355 -0.35)57.26% (0.353 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.9% (-0.282 -0.28)78.1% (0.28099999999999 0.28)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.83% (-0.896 -0.9)27.17% (0.894 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.43% (-1.181 -1.18)62.57% (1.18 1.18)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.24% (0.681 0.68)33.76% (-0.683 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.58% (0.732 0.73)70.42% (-0.735 -0.73)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 41.5%
    Fleetwood Town 30.97%
    Draw 27.52%
Carlisle UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 11.95% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 8.46% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-0 @ 7.79% (-0.296 -0.3)
3-1 @ 3.67% (-0.165 -0.17)
3-0 @ 3.38% (-0.219 -0.22)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.2% (-0.087 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.1% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 41.5%
1-1 @ 12.97% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 9.17% (0.123 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.52%
0-1 @ 9.96% (0.315 0.32)
1-2 @ 7.05% (0.176 0.18)
0-2 @ 5.41% (0.267 0.27)
1-3 @ 2.55% (0.11 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.131 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 30.97%

Head to Head
Sep 20, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Carlisle
1-1
Fleetwood
Idehen (90')
Garner (46')
Sep 1, 2020 7pm
Group Stage
Carlisle
1-3
Fleetwood
Toure (36')
Riley (90+2')
Toure (90')
Camps (44'), Saunders (57', 68')
Matete (90+2')
Nov 8, 2017 7.45pm
-
Carlisle
1-2
Fleetwood
Miller (86')
Devitt (33'), Miller (55')
Sowerby (10'), Burns (44')
Biggins (29')
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Fleetwood
1-2
Carlisle
Hiwula (69')
Maguire (6'), O'Neill (75'), Bolger (90')
Rodgers (105')
Miller (22'), Miller (101')
Devitt (71'), Liddle (85'), Grainger (95'), Miller (104'), Hope (116')
Nov 13, 2013 7.45pm
Area Quarter-Finals
Fleetwood
2-0
Carlisle
Ball (6'), Sarcevic (54')

Berrett (15')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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