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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Salford City

Carlisle
2 - 3
Salford City

Garner (77'), Dennis (85' pen.)
Guy (16'), Edmondson (45+1'), Garner (78'), Dennis (86')
Mellish (82')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Hendry (23'), Bolton (28', 88')
Touray (52'), Watt (83'), McAleny (84')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Salford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 0-1 Carlisle
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 2-3 Salford City
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 37.29%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawSalford City
37.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 27.12%35.58% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Both teams to score 50.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.12% (0.0049999999999955 0)54.88% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.83% (0.0040000000000013 0)76.17% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)28.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.83% (0.0020000000000024 0)64.16% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)29.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.54% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)65.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 37.3%
    Salford City 35.57%
    Draw 27.12%
Carlisle UnitedDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 10.53%
2-1 @ 8.1%
2-0 @ 6.63% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.4%
3-0 @ 2.78%
3-2 @ 2.08%
4-1 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 37.3%
1-1 @ 12.87%
0-0 @ 8.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27.12%
0-1 @ 10.22%
1-2 @ 7.87% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 6.25% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.21%
0-3 @ 2.55%
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 35.57%

Head to Head
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
gameweek 19
Salford City
1-4
Carlisle
Smith (52')
Dennis (3', 80'), Guy (67'), Whelan (72')
Guy (43')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 24
Salford City
2-1
Carlisle
Watson (52' pen.), Smith (71')
Patrick (67')
Feeney (62'), Riley (82')
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
gameweek 6
Carlisle
2-1
Salford City
Dickenson (8'), Mellish (60')
Abrahams (29'), Clough (37'), Guy (84')
Morris (44')
Turnbull (39'), Lowe (70')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
gameweek 30
Salford City
1-1
Carlisle
Wilson (79')
Touray (17'), Turnbull (58')
Tanner (11')
Bennett (45+1'), Mellish (55')
Dec 2, 2020 7pm
gameweek 15
Carlisle
2-1
Salford City
Alessandra (33'), Bennett (55')
Guy (2'), Mellish (36'), Kayode (45'), Tanner (66')
Dieseruvwe (90')
Touray (64'), Bernard (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1BarrowBarrow7511113816
2Gillingham7511102816
3Walsall7502114715
4Notts County7421147714
5AFC Wimbledon641194513
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster7412119213
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe741277013
8Bradford CityBradford732297211
9Port Vale73221110111
10Chesterfield723210649
11Colchester UnitedColchester7232121029
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood62318719
13Salford City723246-29
14Grimsby Town7304912-39
15Tranmere RoversTranmere723237-49
16Newport CountyNewport73041015-59
17Bromley7214911-27
18Cheltenham TownCheltenham7214911-27
19MK Dons721469-37
20Harrogate TownHarrogate7214610-47
21Swindon TownSwindon7133710-36
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle7205814-66
23Accrington StanleyAccrington7034816-83
24Morecambe7025510-52


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