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League One | Gameweek 13
Oct 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The DW Stadium
Mansfield Town

Wigan
1 - 2
Mansfield

Aasgaard (53')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Evans (29'), Baccus (62')
Akins (36'), Baccus (82'), Cargill (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Wigan Athletic and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cambridge 2-0 Wigan
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Mansfield 0-1 Stevenage
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wigan Athletic 1-1 Mansfield Town

Wigan are a solid defensive side, and it would not be surprising to see them hold out for another goalless draw on Tuesday night. However, Mansfield are one of the best attacking sides in the league, and we think this might influence the game, though we are predicting a draw in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 38%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawMansfield Town
34.45% (0.661 0.66) 27.55% (0.206 0.21) 38% (-0.864 -0.86)
Both teams to score 49.07% (-0.519 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.38% (-0.699 -0.7)56.62% (0.701 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.41% (-0.564 -0.56)77.59% (0.56699999999999 0.57)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.96% (0.081999999999994 0.08)31.04% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.65% (0.094999999999999 0.09)67.35% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.16% (-0.83500000000001 -0.84)28.84% (0.839 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.3% (-1.055 -1.06)64.7% (1.057 1.06)
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 34.45%
    Mansfield Town 38%
    Draw 27.55%
Wigan AthleticDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 10.47% (0.3 0.3)
2-1 @ 7.62% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.13% (0.189 0.19)
3-1 @ 2.97% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.39% (0.078 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.85% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 34.45%
1-1 @ 13.02% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 8.95% (0.238 0.24)
2-2 @ 4.74% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.55%
0-1 @ 11.13% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.1% (-0.145 -0.15)
0-2 @ 6.92% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.141 -0.14)
0-3 @ 2.87% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 38%

How you voted: Wigan vs Mansfield

Wigan Athletic
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
Mansfield Town
50.0%
24
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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