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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 58.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 19.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-2 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match.
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
58.68% ( -4.07) | 21.59% ( 1.27) | 19.73% ( 2.81) |
Both teams to score 55.91% ( 1.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.05% ( -1.17) | 41.95% ( 1.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.65% ( -1.19) | 64.35% ( 1.19) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.01% ( -1.57) | 13.99% ( 1.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.5% ( -3.19) | 41.5% ( 3.19) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65% ( 2.4) | 35% ( -2.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.25% ( 2.44) | 71.75% ( -2.44) |
Score Analysis |
Mansfield Town | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.63) 3-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.39) 3-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.82) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.4) 4-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.61) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.24) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.33) Other @ 3.08% Total : 58.68% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( 0.58) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.25) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.59% | 1-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.62) 0-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.57) 0-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.45) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.32) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.22) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.21) Other @ 1.96% Total : 19.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |