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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 1
Aug 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Mansfield Town

Barnsley
1 - 2
Mansfield

Connell (32')
Earl (79')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Quinn (13'), Gregory (18')
Quinn (25'), Pym (66'), Nichols (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Barnsley and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 0-4 Roma
Tuesday, August 6 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Matlock Town 0-3 Mansfield
Tuesday, August 6 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Barnsley 2-1 Mansfield Town

Like the other teams that have earned promotion from League Two, Mansfield have the potential to make an impact in the third tier. However, we can only back the home side to come through this contest with three points, albeit in a competitive match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 55.86%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 21.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Barnsley win it was 1-0 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawMansfield Town
21.34% (-6.258 -6.26) 22.8% (-1.916 -1.92) 55.86% (8.173 8.17)
Both teams to score 54.41% (-0.595 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.85% (2.457 2.46)45.16% (-2.456 -2.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.5% (2.312 2.31)67.5% (-2.312 -2.31)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.77% (-4.003 -4)35.23% (4.002 4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.01% (-4.415 -4.42)71.99% (4.415 4.41)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84% (4.023 4.02)16% (-4.023 -4.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.69% (6.908 6.91)45.32% (-6.909 -6.91)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 21.34%
    Mansfield Town 55.86%
    Draw 22.79%
BarnsleyDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 5.88% (-1.396 -1.4)
2-1 @ 5.62% (-1.189 -1.19)
2-0 @ 3.07% (-1.167 -1.17)
3-1 @ 1.95% (-0.688 -0.69)
3-2 @ 1.79% (-0.334 -0.33)
3-0 @ 1.07% (-0.577 -0.58)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 21.34%
1-1 @ 10.77% (-0.93 -0.93)
0-0 @ 5.64% (-0.616 -0.62)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.326 -0.33)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.79%
0-1 @ 10.33% (0.28 0.28)
1-2 @ 9.88% (0.463 0.46)
0-2 @ 9.47% (1.378 1.38)
1-3 @ 6.03% (0.987 0.99)
0-3 @ 5.78% (1.447 1.45)
2-3 @ 3.15% (0.211 0.21)
1-4 @ 2.76% (0.735 0.74)
0-4 @ 2.65% (0.906 0.91)
2-4 @ 1.44% (0.261 0.26)
1-5 @ 1.01% (0.36 0.36)
0-5 @ 0.97% (0.41 0.41)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 55.86%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Mansfield

Barnsley
62.0%
Draw
12.7%
Mansfield Town
25.4%
71
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe1392231161529
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport145632017321
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Crawley TownCrawley143291225-1311
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion130581325-125


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