Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 56.1%. A win for Reading had a probability of 22.31% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-2 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.