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League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Lincoln City

Reading
1 - 1
Lincoln

Bindon (83')
Wing (67'), Wing (90+4'), Elliott (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Draper (72')
(69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Reading and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 5-2 Reading
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 1-3 Lincoln
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Reading 1-3 Lincoln City

Reading usually save their best form for home surroundings, but we think they may come off second-best against a Lincoln team that will have significant momentum behind them following a five-game winning run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
ReadingDrawLincoln City
45.09% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06) 25.03% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 29.88% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 55.51% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.35% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)47.65% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.15% (-0.055000000000003 -0.06)69.85% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.84% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)21.17% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.97% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)54.03% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.41% (0.0019999999999953 0)29.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.37%65.63% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Reading 45.09%
    Lincoln City 29.88%
    Draw 25.03%
ReadingDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 9.73% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.55% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.76% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.91% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 45.09%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.26% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.03%
0-1 @ 7.63% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.21% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.64% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.93% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.88% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 29.88%

How you voted: Reading vs Lincoln

Reading
20.8%
Draw
4.2%
Lincoln City
75.0%
24
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Lincoln
1-1
Reading
Abby (3' og.)
Duffy (38'), Jensen (41'), Hamilton (90+3')
Knibbs (56')
Abby (22'), Knibbs (75'), Yiadom (75')
Selles (23')
Jul 10, 2021 1pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Reading
1-0
Lincoln
Camara (71')
Jul 20, 2019 9am
Pre-season Friendlies
Lincoln
1-0
Reading
Anderson (88')
Jul 16, 2016 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Lincoln
4-1
Reading
Caton (1'), Muldoon (3'), Waterfall (49'), Wood (84')
Smith (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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