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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 39
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Lincoln
5 - 0
Bristol Rovers

O'Connor (11'), Taylor (19', 23', 55'), Hackett (81')
Erhahon (45+4'), Skubala (46'), Makama (65'), Roughan (71')
Erhahon (76')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Aguilera (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 6-0 Cambridge
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 0-0 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 3-1 Bristol Rovers

Lincoln are flying at the moment, and it may take a superior side to Bristol Rovers to stop Skubala's side. The former Leeds United caretaker boss has let the shackles off in recent weeks, with the Imps posting an unbeaten record of 12 matches. The visitors, on the other hand, have little to play for and have failed to score in their last two games. We can see that changing on Saturday, but it may not be enough to prevent them from falling to defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 48.73%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 24.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawBristol Rovers
48.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 26.72% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 24.55% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.45% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.47% (0.045000000000002 0.05)57.53% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.68% (0.037000000000003 0.04)78.32% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.32% (0.018000000000001 0.02)23.68% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.2% (0.027000000000001 0.03)57.8% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.87% (0.039999999999999 0.04)39.13% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.15% (0.036999999999999 0.04)75.85% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 48.73%
    Bristol Rovers 24.55%
    Draw 26.71%
Lincoln CityDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 13.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.61% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.62% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.33% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.66%
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 48.73%
1-1 @ 12.52%
0-0 @ 9.27% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.23% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 26.71%
0-1 @ 8.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.08% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.84% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.32% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.28% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 24.55%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Bristol Rovers

Lincoln City
80.8%
Draw
7.7%
Bristol Rovers
11.5%
26
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Lincoln
Grant (90+4')
Finley (42'), Vale (84')
Jackson (53')
Mitchell (45+1'), Mandroiu (66'), Smith (71')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Bristol Rovers
3-6
Lincoln
Collins (18', 65'), Loft (59')
House (7', 61'), Diamond (14' pen., 45+1', 56'), Virtue (51')
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 42
Bristol Rovers
0-1
Lincoln

Jaakkola (51'), Leahy (52'), Baldwin (90+8'), McCormick (90+9')
Upson (36')
Scully (16')
Edun (37'), Johnson (37'), Poole (90')
Oct 10, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 5
Lincoln
1-2
Bristol Rovers
Baldwin (46' og.)
Jackson (61'), Bridcutt (87')
Jackson (83')
Daly (48'), Hanlan (58' pen.)
Nicholson (90+5'), Tutonda (90+8')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124


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