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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Lincoln
1 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Poole (14')
FT(HT: 1-0)

McCormick (25'), Gibbons (68'), Quansah (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Lincoln City 2-2 Bristol Rovers

We believe that Lincoln's home run without a win will continue in this game, but also that their run without losing will extend to five matches. Bristol Rovers' ability to score and leak goals makes this game exciting to watch and can make them unpredictable, but we think that this game will end a point a piece for each side in a high-scoring 2-2 draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lincoln City in this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawBristol Rovers
43.96%25.34% (0.00099999999999767 0) 30.7%
Both teams to score 54.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.39% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)48.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.27% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)70.73%
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.92%22.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.57%55.43%
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.48%29.51% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.47% (0.0010000000000048 0)65.53%
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 43.96%
    Bristol Rovers 30.7%
    Draw 25.34%
Lincoln CityDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.84%
2-1 @ 9.07%
2-0 @ 7.43%
3-1 @ 4.57%
3-0 @ 3.74%
3-2 @ 2.79%
4-1 @ 1.73%
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 43.96%
1-1 @ 12.01%
0-0 @ 6.52%
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 7.95%
1-2 @ 7.33%
0-2 @ 4.85%
1-3 @ 2.98%
2-3 @ 2.25%
0-3 @ 1.97%
1-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 30.7%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Bristol Rovers

Lincoln City
62.5%
Draw
0.0%
Bristol Rovers
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Bristol Rovers
3-6
Lincoln
Collins (18', 65'), Loft (59')
Evans (8')
House (7', 61'), Diamond (14' pen., 45+1', 56'), Virtue (51')
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
Bristol Rovers
0-1
Lincoln

Jaakkola (51'), Leahy (52'), Baldwin (90+8'), McCormick (90+9')
Upson (36')
Scully (16')
Edun (37'), Johnson (37'), Poole (90')
Oct 10, 2020 3pm
Lincoln
1-2
Bristol Rovers
Baldwin (46' og.)
Jackson (61'), Bridcutt (87')
Jackson (83')
Daly (48'), Hanlan (58' pen.)
Nicholson (90+5'), Tutonda (90+8')
Sep 14, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wrexham7511146816
2Birmingham CityBirmingham6510136716
3Barnsley74121210213
4Charlton AthleticCharlton741275213
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield7403118312
6Lincoln CityLincoln6321106411
7Stockport CountyStockport6321106411
8Peterborough UnitedPeterborough73221211111
9Blackpool73221313011
10Mansfield TownMansfield63211111011
11Wycombe WanderersWycombe63121210210
12Exeter CityExeter63038629
13Northampton TownNorthampton62228718
14Wigan AthleticWigan72236518
15Stevenage72235508
16Leyton Orient7214911-27
17Reading6213710-37
18Crawley TownCrawley621358-37
19Bolton WanderersBolton6213711-47
20Bristol Rovers7214611-57
21Rotherham UnitedRotherham713359-46
22Burton Albion6042810-24
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury7106512-73
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge6015613-71


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