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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lincoln City | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
33.73% ( -0.14) | 27.37% ( 0.25) | 38.9% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 49.52% ( -0.79) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.99% ( -0.98) | 56.02% ( 0.98) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.9% ( -0.81) | 77.1% ( 0.81) |
Lincoln City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.8% ( -0.59) | 31.2% ( 0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.46% ( -0.69) | 67.54% ( 0.69) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.97% ( -0.53) | 28.03% ( 0.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.32% ( -0.68) | 63.68% ( 0.68) |
Score Analysis |
Lincoln City | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 10.18% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.98% Total : 33.73% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.36% | 0-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 3% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.87% Total : 38.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |