We said: Bolton Wanderers 1-1 Bristol Rovers
Despite their contrasting league positions, Bristol Rovers have matched Bolton for points over the last three contests. With that in mind, we are backing the visitors to earn a share of the spoils, bouncing back from the disappointment of their FA Cup exit.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 67.32%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 13.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.