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League One
Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 18
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Fleetwood Town

Bristol Rovers
2 - 2
Fleetwood

Coburn (57'), Collins (80')
Gordon (68'), Collins (75'), Belshaw (90+1'), Rossiter (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rooney (14', 90+9')
Lynch (68'), Batty (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-0 Rochdale
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 3-1 Oxford City
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Fleetwood Town

 There is very little to split the sides in terms of form and league position, but despite Bristol Rovers' excellent offensive output, Fleetwood's strong defence may be able to do a good job on a side littered with injuries. Another win which saw them score three goals last weekend shows that Fleetwood are improving at the other end too, and Rovers' softness in giving away goals could cost them here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 47.63%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawFleetwood Town
47.63% (-0.067 -0.07) 25.13% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 27.24% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 53.39% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.41% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)49.59% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.38% (-0.087 -0.09)71.61% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.15% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)20.85% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.46% (-0.108 -0.11)53.53% (0.108 0.11)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.46% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)32.54% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.92% (-0.023 -0.02)69.07% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 47.62%
    Fleetwood Town 27.24%
    Draw 25.13%
Bristol RoversDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 10.63% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.34% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 4.89% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.92% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 47.62%
1-1 @ 11.94% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.78% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 7.62% (0.025 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.7% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 4.28% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.51%
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.6% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 27.24%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Fleetwood

Bristol Rovers
20.0%
Draw
20.0%
Fleetwood Town
60.0%
5
Head to Head
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Fleetwood
0-0
Bristol Rovers

Batty (20')

Ehmer (63')
Nov 14, 2020 3pm
Bristol Rovers
1-4
Fleetwood
Grant (60')
Harries (27'), Ehmer (79'), Hanlan (90+1')
Camps (30', 82'), Madden (39'), Evans (86' pen.)
Edwards (43'), Madden (70'), Leutwiler (90')
Jan 25, 2020 3pm
Bristol Rovers
0-0
Fleetwood

Davies (69'), Clarke-Harris (82')

Madden (86')
Dec 29, 2019 3pm
Fleetwood
0-0
Bristol Rovers

Madden (42'), Andrew (45'), Coutts (85')

Leahy (15'), Ogogo (29'), Clarke-Harris (89')
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
Fleetwood
0-0
Bristol Rovers

Madden (81'), Evans (81')

Partington (45'), Ogogo (69'), Clarke (77'), Bonham (81'), Lockyer (81'), Upson (87')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wrexham7511146816
2Birmingham CityBirmingham6510136716
3Barnsley74121210213
4Charlton AthleticCharlton741275213
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield7403118312
6Lincoln CityLincoln6321106411
7Stockport CountyStockport6321106411
8Peterborough UnitedPeterborough73221211111
9Blackpool73221313011
10Mansfield TownMansfield63211111011
11Wycombe WanderersWycombe63121210210
12Exeter CityExeter63038629
13Northampton TownNorthampton62228718
14Wigan AthleticWigan72236518
15Stevenage72235508
16Leyton Orient7214911-27
17Reading6213710-37
18Crawley TownCrawley621358-37
19Bolton WanderersBolton6213711-47
20Bristol Rovers7214611-57
21Rotherham UnitedRotherham713359-46
22Burton Albion6042810-24
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury7106512-73
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge6015613-71
> League One Full Table


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