FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK

Memorial Stadium

Bristol Rovers
1 - 0
Rochdale

Sinclair (65')
Gibbons (69')

FT(HT: 0-0)

John (14'), Odoh (63')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Bristol Rovers and Rochdale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Derby 4-2 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rochdale

All competitions

Last Game: Walsall 1-0 Rochdale
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bristol Rovers 3-1 Rochdale

The League One side should have enough quality to beat Rochdale, especially if Aaron Collins starts the game. Rochdale will be hoping they can keep things tight and cause an upset in this fixture, but we expect them to fall short. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 52.67%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 24.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.

Result
Bristol Rovers	Draw	Rochdale
52.67% ( 0.1)	23.18% ( -0.02)	24.14% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 56.78% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.27% (

-0.01)

43.73% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.88% (

-0.01)

66.12% (

0.01)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.39% (

0.03)

16.6% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.58% (

0.06)

46.42% (

-0.06)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.08% (

-0.07)

31.92% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.63% (

-0.08)

68.37% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Bristol Rovers 52.67%

Rochdale 24.14%

Draw 23.18%

Bristol Rovers	Draw	Rochdale
2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 3.22% Total : 52.67%	1-1 @ 10.86% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.3% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.18%	1-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.05% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 24.14%