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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.
Result | ||
Rochdale | Draw | Barrow |
39.06% ( -0.01) | 27.91% | 33.02% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 47.73% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.81% ( -0.01) | 58.18% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.16% ( -0.01) | 78.83% ( 0) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.01% ( -0.01) | 28.98% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.12% ( -0.01) | 64.87% ( 0.01) |
Barrow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.21% ( -0.01) | 32.79% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.65% ( -0) | 69.35% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Rochdale | Draw | Barrow |
1-0 @ 11.76% 2-1 @ 8.13% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.29% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.36% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.01% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.67% Total : 39.05% | 1-1 @ 13.12% 0-0 @ 9.5% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.91% | 0-1 @ 10.59% 1-2 @ 7.32% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.91% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.72% 0-3 @ 2.2% 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 33.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 30 |
2 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
3 | Notts County | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 27 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 25 |
6 | MK Dons | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 24 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 15 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 24 |
8 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Chesterfield | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 22 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 22 |
11 | BarrowBarrow | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 22 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
13 | Salford City | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
14 | AFC Wimbledon | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 19 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 16 |
19 | Bromley | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 15 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 13 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 12 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Morecambe | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |