Liverpool U21s have struggled in this competition in recent years, and we think their losing streak could continue on Tuesday. Rochdale are not in good form whatsoever, which is only likely to increase their motivation to avoid an embarrassing defeat against an academy outfit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 52.73%. A win for Liverpool Under-21s had a probability of 24.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Liverpool Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.

Result
Rochdale	Draw	Liverpool Under-21s
52.73% ( -8.86)	22.74% ( 2.58)	24.52% ( 6.29)

Both teams to score 58.74% (

0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.66% (

-3.66)

41.33% (

3.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.26% (

-3.82)

63.73% (

3.82)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.28% (

-3.92)

15.72% (

3.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.19% (

-7.8)

44.8% (

7.8)

Liverpool Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.69% (

3.75)

30.3% (

-3.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.51% (

4.25)

66.48% (

-4.25)

Score Analysis

Rochdale 52.73%

Liverpool Under-21s 24.52%

Draw 22.74%

Rochdale	Draw	Liverpool Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 8.15% ( -1.02) 3-1 @ 6% ( -1.04) 3-0 @ 5.03% ( -1.51) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.21) 4-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.99) 4-0 @ 2.33% ( -1.17) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.37) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.58) Other @ 3.62% Total : 52.73%	1-1 @ 10.52% ( 1.27) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.49) 0-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.75) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.74%	1-2 @ 6.28% ( 1.3) 0-1 @ 5.69% ( 1.36) 0-2 @ 3.4% ( 1.07) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.71) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.4) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.51) Other @ 3% Total : 24.52%