MX23RW : Wednesday, March 19 18:24:42| >> :600:1932106:1932106:
Rochdale
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 20, 2022 at 7pm UK
Crown Oil Arena

Rochdale
1 - 0
Liverpool U21s

Campbell (82')
Graham (45+1'), Odoh (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Olufunwa (24'), Blair (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Rochdale and Liverpool Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rochdale 1-0 Liverpool U21s
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Next Game: Colchester vs. Rochdale
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 1-0 Liverpool U21s
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Next Game: Liverpool U21s vs. Arsenal U21s
Saturday, October 1 at 2pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

We said: Rochdale 2-1 Liverpool Under-21s

Liverpool U21s have struggled in this competition in recent years, and we think their losing streak could continue on Tuesday. Rochdale are not in good form whatsoever, which is only likely to increase their motivation to avoid an embarrassing defeat against an academy outfit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 52.73%. A win for Liverpool Under-21s had a probability of 24.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Liverpool Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.

Result
RochdaleDrawLiverpool Under-21s
52.73% (-8.864 -8.86) 22.74% (2.575 2.58) 24.52% (6.292 6.29)
Both teams to score 58.74% (0.571 0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.66% (-3.657 -3.66)41.33% (3.659 3.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.26% (-3.815 -3.82)63.73% (3.817 3.82)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.28% (-3.923 -3.92)15.72% (3.925 3.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.19% (-7.797 -7.8)44.8% (7.8 7.8)
Liverpool Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.69% (3.748 3.75)30.3% (-3.746 -3.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.51% (4.249 4.25)66.48% (-4.247 -4.25)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 52.73%
    Liverpool Under-21s 24.52%
    Draw 22.74%
RochdaleDrawLiverpool Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.149 -0.15)
1-0 @ 8.81% (0.23 0.23)
2-0 @ 8.15% (-1.02 -1.02)
3-1 @ 6% (-1.039 -1.04)
3-0 @ 5.03% (-1.508 -1.51)
3-2 @ 3.58% (-0.21 -0.21)
4-1 @ 2.78% (-0.986 -0.99)
4-0 @ 2.33% (-1.168 -1.17)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.37 -0.37)
5-1 @ 1.03% (-0.581 -0.58)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 52.73%
1-1 @ 10.52% (1.273 1.27)
2-2 @ 5.81% (0.487 0.49)
0-0 @ 4.76% (0.748 0.75)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.74%
1-2 @ 6.28% (1.3 1.3)
0-1 @ 5.69% (1.361 1.36)
0-2 @ 3.4% (1.065 1.07)
1-3 @ 2.5% (0.711 0.71)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.401 0.4)
0-3 @ 1.35% (0.514 0.51)
Other @ 3%
Total : 24.52%

How you voted: Rochdale vs Liverpool U21s

Rochdale
Draw
Liverpool Under-21s
Rochdale
60.0%
Draw
22.2%
Liverpool Under-21s
17.8%
45
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2021 7pm
Rochdale
4-0
Liverpool U21s
Kelly (33'), O'Keeffe (50' pen., 72'), Andrews (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal291610353242958
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest29166749351454
4Chelsea29147853371649
5Manchester CityMan City29146955401548
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton29121164842647
8Fulham2912984338545
9Aston Villa2912984145-445
10Bournemouth29128948361244
11Brentford29125125045541
12Crystal Palace2810993633339
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd29107123740-337
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs291041555431234
15Everton2971393236-434
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2997133349-1634
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2975174058-1826
18Ipswich TownIpswich2938182862-3417
19Leicester CityLeicester2945202565-4017
20Southampton2923242170-499


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!